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Rome NO2 maps 12 years apart still predict deaths

Land-use regression NO2 surfaces for Rome in 1995/96 and 2007 were highly correlated, and both predicted higher natural-cause mortality in a 2001–2006 adult cohort.

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Why do people reuse old LUR maps?

They assume intra-urban pollution patterns change slowly.

Source: Nitrogen dioxide levels estimated from land use regression models several years apart and association with mortality in a large cohort study · DOI · quote verified

How many 2007 measurement sites?

78 sites with Ogawa samplers in three weeks.

Source: Nitrogen dioxide levels estimated from land use regression models several years apart and association with mortality in a large cohort study · DOI · quote verified

Correlation of measured NO2 12 years apart?

Pearson r = 0.79 (0.83 background, 0.68 traffic).

Source: Nitrogen dioxide levels estimated from land use regression models several years apart and association with mortality in a large cohort study · DOI · quote verified

Mortality HRs for top vs bottom NO2 quintile?

1.10 (1995/96 map) and 1.11 (2007 map).

Source: Nitrogen dioxide levels estimated from land use regression models several years apart and association with mortality in a large cohort study · DOI · quote verified

Cohort follow-up window?

Adult residents followed from 2001 to 2006.

Source: Nitrogen dioxide levels estimated from land use regression models several years apart and association with mortality in a large cohort study · DOI · quote verified

Regression used for mortality?

Cox proportional hazards, adjusted for demographics and SES.

Source: Nitrogen dioxide levels estimated from land use regression models several years apart and association with mortality in a large cohort study · DOI · quote verified

Where did agreement weaken?

Traffic sites (r = 0.68) versus urban background (0.83).

Source: Nitrogen dioxide levels estimated from land use regression models several years apart and association with mortality in a large cohort study · DOI · quote verified