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Changing flood types reshape Europe’s flood-rich eras

Europe’s 1960–2010 flood-rich and flood-poor periods track shifts among rainfall-on-dry, rainfall-on-wet, rain-on-snow, and snowmelt floods, not rainfall totals alone.

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What four flood-generation classes were used?

Rain.Dry, Rain.Wet, Rain.Snow, and Snowmelt.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

How did North vs Northwest Europe flood anomalies change?

South and North went flood-rich to flood-poor; Northwest went the opposite way.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

What fraction of catchments had at least one flood anomaly?

33% overall; highest in the Mediterranean (40.1%).

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

What Atlantic process shift aligned with flood-rich conditions?

From more Rain.Dry toward more Rain.Wet events, by about 5%.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

What Northern process shift aligned with flood-poor conditions?

From more Snowmelt toward more Rain.Wet, by about 2.5%.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

Do 1-day rainfall maxima explain anomalies as well as 7-day?

No; 1-day precipitation contributes less in all cases.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

How many catchments entered anomaly detection?

1353 with ≥40 years of annual maxima in 1960–2010.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

What hydrologic model supplied soil moisture?

mHM on a 5 km grid forced by downscaled E-OBS, 1960–2010.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

How many catchments are in the four regions?

Northern 124, Atlantic 477, Mediterranean 182, Central-Alpine 570.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

What Mediterranean ‘worst of both worlds’ is noted?

Mostly negative flood-magnitude trends yet large (100-year) floods decreased less.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified

Over what period were floods classified?

1960 to 2010 annual maximum floods.

Source: Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe · DOI · quote verified